Zach’s Corner
Zach’s Commercial Realestate Corner. Features news, thoughts on Florida’s Commercial Real Estate and more.
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Dutch Bros Expands into Florida, Targets Tampa Bay for Growth
Dutch Bros Coffee is accelerating its nationwide expansion, with Florida playing a key role in its ambitious growth plan. The company aims to surpass 2,029 locations by 2029 and has set a long-term goal of 7,000+ stores across the U.S. As part of this effort, Tampa Bay will soon welcome its first Dutch Bros locations, marking a significant milestone for the drive-thru coffee brand in the Sunshine State. The Tampa Bay expansion will include a new drive-thru-only location in South Tampa, situated at 3616 W. Ballast Point Boulevard, where it will replace an existing car wash. This site has been strategically selected for its high-volume traffic patterns and proximity to a dense residential population. Additionally, a second location is set for development at the corner of State Road 54 and Sunlake Boulevard in Lutz, furthering the brand’s reach into Pasco County. Dutch Bros’ presence in Florida was solidified earlier this year with the opening of its 1,000th store in Orlando. That milestone underscores the company’s strong interest in Florida’s growing consumer base and its commitment to gaining market share in high-demand metro areas. Several factors are driving this momentum. The company’s market entry approach is rooted in strategic site selection, prioritizing high-visibility, high-traffic areas to optimize customer…
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Big News in Lakewood Ranch! Lafayette Real Estate Unveils Exciting New Build-to-Rent Community
Lakewood Ranch is growing fast—and a brand-new housing development is about to bring even more opportunity to this thriving community. Lafayette Real Estate has announced plans for Lorraine Crossings, a new build-to-rent (BTR) community that’s set to add high-quality rental homes in one of Florida’s most sought-after regions. This project is part of Lafayette’s bold strategy to grow its BTR portfolio, with over 2,000 homes underway and $700 million in capital already committed to making it happen. What Lorraine Crossings Means for Manatee County Addressing Local Housing DemandLakewood Ranch ranks as one of the fastest-growing master-planned communities in the nation, and with more families and professionals moving in, the demand for rental housing continues to rise. Lorraine Crossings will help meet that demand by offering thoughtfully designed homes for today’s renters. Workforce Housing That Makes a DifferenceIn a boost to housing accessibility, 25% of homes in the community will be reserved for households earning up to 120% of the area’s median income. That means more working families will have access to affordable, high-quality living spaces right here in Manatee County. Supporting Economic and Community GrowthMore housing isn’t just good for renters—it’s good for the region. Developments like Lorraine Crossings help…
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Five Below Accelerates Growth with 150 New Stores Planned by End of 2025
Five Below, the popular specialty discount retailer known for selling products primarily priced at $5 or less, has announced ambitious expansion plans with 150 new stores scheduled to open by the end of 2025. According to Chief Financial Officer Kristy Chapman, 50 of these locations are slated to open by the end of March 2025, with the remaining 100 launching throughout the year. “Five Below’s aggressive expansion plan reflects our strategic commitment to capturing market share in the value retail sector while maintaining our core promise of delivering ‘wow’ products at accessible price points.” – Kristy Chapman, CFO of Five Below Strategic Market Positioning Founded in 2002, Five Below has built its success on a unique business model targeting tweens, teens, and value-conscious shoppers across various age demographics. The retailer offers a diverse range of trend-right merchandise across eight categories: Style, Room, Sports, Tech, Create, Party, Candy, and Now. This expansion strengthens Five Below’s position in the competitive discount retail landscape, where consumers increasingly seek affordable options amid persistent inflationary pressures. The company continues to differentiate itself by maintaining its core $5-and-below pricing strategy while selectively introducing higher-priced items through its “Five Beyond” sections. Show Image Five Below’s modern storefront…
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Joann Fabrics Closing All Stores – Impact on the Tampa Bay Area and Florida’s West Coast
Joann Fabrics Closures Leave a Void in Tampa Bay and Southwest Florida’s Retail Landscape Tampa Bay area and Florida’s west coast, affecting crafters, hobbyists, and small business owners who have long relied on the retailer for fabrics, sewing supplies, and crafting materials. With stores in Tampa, St. Petersburg, Sarasota, Port Richey, and Venice among those shutting down, customers will be forced to seek alternatives, often at higher prices or with more limited selections. However, the loss of Joann’s extends beyond the crafting industry. The closures will displace employees and may negatively affect surrounding businesses that relied on the store’s consistent foot traffic. Shopping centers that once counted on Joann Fabrics as an anchor tenant will now face the difficult challenge of filling large retail spaces in an already struggling commercial real estate market. The closures will have a significant impact on the Tampa Bay area and Florida’s west coast, where several Joann locations have long served as essential hubs for crafters, hobbyists, and small businesses. Stores shutting down in the region include locations in Tampa, St. Petersburg, Sarasota, Port Richey, and Venice, among others. The loss of these stores will leave a void for the crafting community, forcing customers to…
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The Last Great Chicken Sandwich is Coming Soon to Tampa & Sarasota
Super Chix, a fast-casual dining brand known for its premium chicken sandwiches, tenders, fresh salads, and house-made frozen custard, has taken a significant step in its expansion plans with the announcement of a 20-unit franchise deal in the Tampa Bay and Sarasota areas of Florida. The agreement marks a pivotal move for Super Chix as it continues to grow its presence in the U.S. The deal was made with The Pater Group, led by seasoned restaurant operators Todd and Lorraine Pater. The Pater family has a wealth of experience in the restaurant industry, and they are committed to bringing Super Chix’s distinctive offerings to the Florida market. The first of these new locations is expected to open by the end of 2025, with further openings following shortly after, contributing to Super Chix’s overall goal of opening 10 to 12 restaurants in 2025 alone. This expansion reflects Super Chix’s broader growth strategy, which includes signing franchise agreements for over 300 locations across 23 states. With 35 restaurants already operational, Super Chix is positioned to significantly increase its footprint, and the Florida deal is seen as a major milestone in that effort. Super Chix’s offering, which stands out in the crowded fast-casual…
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Commercial Real Estate’s $7.84T Boom
The projected growth of the global real estate market to USD 7.84 trillion by 2033 is anticipated to have significant implications for the commercial real estate sectors in Florida’s West Coast cities, including Tampa, Sarasota, and St. Petersburg. Tampa: Office Market: As of late 2024, Tampa’s office market has shown resilience, with overall vacancy rates decreasing to 20.0%, the lowest since Q2 2022. This decline indicates a strengthening demand for office spaces in the area. St. Petersburg: Industrial Sector: St. Petersburg’s industrial market, the largest submarket in the Tampa Bay area, remains robust. In Q2 2023, industrial rental rates increased by 12% year-over-year, reflecting strong demand. Retail Sector: The retail market in St. Petersburg has experienced a surge in demand, with a 34% net absorption rate in Q4 2022, surpassing the national average. This heightened demand has led to a 5.2% increase in rental prices over a 12-month period. Sarasota: Market Dynamics: Sarasota continues to attract commercial investments, particularly in the retail and office sectors. The city’s growth trajectory suggests potential opportunities for investors seeking to capitalize on the expanding market. Challenges Across the Region: Insurance Costs: Rising insurance premiums, driven by recent severe weather events, are impacting commercial real estate owners, including those of…
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2025: A Rebounding Year for Commercial Real Estate in Tampa and Southwest Florida
“Tampa Bay is predicted to be the 22nd hottest housing market in the nation next year for year-over-year median sale prices,” reports Realtor.com. “Across the top 100 metros, sales are expected to rise by 7.8% and prices by 7.4%.”
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Big News: Shake Shack Announces Ambitious 2025 Growth Strategy
Shake Shack, the beloved burger chain known for its premium ingredients and iconic crinkle-cut fries, has unveiled a bold growth strategy for 2025. With a current footprint of around 329 stores, the company plans to expand that number to an impressive 1,500 locations. This ambitious move comes with a focus on innovating store formats and breaking into untapped global markets. Scaling Up: The 1,500 Store Vision The leap from 329 to 1,500 locations signals a significant commitment to growth, though Shake Shack has yet to disclose a specific timeline for achieving this milestone. CEO Randy Garutti has emphasized the importance of strategic scaling, which will include experimenting with smaller store footprints and introducing drive-thru components. These adaptations align with shifting consumer preferences for convenience and accessibility in dining experiences. Smaller stores can potentially make Shake Shack more cost-effective to operate, while drive-thrus open doors to a broader customer base, including suburban and car-dependent markets. Global Ambitions: Eyeing New Markets Shake Shack isn’t just focusing on North America for its expansion. The company has expressed a clear interest in entering new markets across Europe, South America, and Australia. This marks a pivotal moment in its international growth trajectory. Currently, Shake Shack…
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After Filing for Bankruptcy, Big Lots Shuts Down Its Doors for Good
A Sign of Shifting Retail Realities In September, Big Lots filed for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Protection and has since officially announced plans to liquidate its assets and close its remaining 1,300 stores across 48 states (Smith, 2024). This development follows Party City’s similar fate, as the retailer is shutting down its 800 stores due to insurmountable debt and complications arising from a helium shortage that severely impacted its popular balloon business (Johnson, 2024). For Big Lots, the announcement comes as no surprise. A proposed $620 million buyout by Nexus Capital Management collapsed, dashing hopes of preserving even its best-performing stores. The deal was regarded as a last-ditch effort to keep the company afloat (Reuters, 2024). The Downfall: Market Dynamics and Competitive Pressures Both Big Lots and Party City struggled to compete in a rapidly evolving retail landscape dominated by Walmart, the nation’s largest retailer. While Walmart offers similar low-priced products, its broader range and operational efficiencies left specialized retailers like Big Lots and Party City at a disadvantage. As consumer habits shifted, particularly with reduced demand for party supplies, Party City’s niche market eroded further (Bloomberg, 2024). Big Lots’ failure, however, is more nuanced. At first glance, it might seem…
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Kroger and Albertson’s Planned Merger, A Threat to Consumers Ruling States
A merger that’s been in planning since 2022 between Kroger and Albertson’s was officially struck down earlier this week by a U.S. District Court in Oregon ruled that the merger, which would have been the largest between two supermarkets, would diminish competition in the free market and fail to protect consumers. At the announcement of the failed merger, Kroger ultimately decided to pull out of the deal entirely, stating that “it is no longer in its best interests to pursue the merger.” For consumers, this means that the next food giant to truly rival Walmart will have to wait. Walmart controls roughly 22% of the consumer market, while the merger between Albertson’s and Kroger would have pushed their market to approximately 13%. Additionally, with the rise of Aldi nationwide and Walmart and Costco’s continued growth, Kroger and Albertson’s merger seemed to make sense for both parties. According to the National Retail Federation, Kroger and Albertson’s failed to open any new stores in 2022 and 2023, while Publix and Costco opened 2.3% more stores in that same period. This suggests that this merger was perhaps more motivated by fear than strategic interest. Upon learning of the court’s decision to block the…
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